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Rays Community prospect #43


Jeff Ames wins the runoff.

1. Matt Moore (100%)

2. Hak-Ju Lee (100%)

3. Alex Torres (53%)

4. Enny Romero (80% runoff)

5. Tim Beckham (64%)

6. Mikie Mahtook (63% runoff)

7. Brandon Guyer (50%)

8. Chris Archer (65% runoff)

9. Drew Vettleson (48%)

10. Taylor Guerrieri (80%)

11. Alex Colome (75%)

12. Derek Dietrch (40%)

13. Josh Sale (39%)

14. Ryan Brett (50%)

15. Parker Markel (43%)

16. Jake Hager (41%)

17. Tyler Goeddel (43%)

18. Jeff Malm (60%)

19. Oscar Hernandez (48%)

20. Tyler Bortnick (84% runoff)

21. Granden Goetzman (80% runoff)

22. Lenny Linsky (36% runoff)

23(T). Ryan Carpenter (32% runoff)

24. Matt Bush (33%)

25. Robinson Chirinos (60% runoff)

26. Johnny Eierman (26%)

27. Brandon Martin (22%)

28. Ty Morrison (73% runoff)

29. CJ Riefenhauser (69% runoff)

30. Felipe Rivero (29%)

31. Kes Carter (45%)

32. Grayson Garvin (31%)

33. James Harris (33%)

34. Lucas Bailey (27%)

35. Marquis Fleming (24%)

36. Cole Figueroa (24%)

37. Justin O'Conner (28%)

38. Cody Rogers (28%)

39. Jose Lobaton (45%)

40. Wilking Rodriguez (42%)

41. Yoel Araujo (28%)

42. Jeff Ames (50% runoff)

Star-divide

Jesse Hahn (RHP): A college pitcher taken in the 6th round of the 2010 draft, Hahn was considered a first round talent before undergoing TJS around draft time. If he returns to form, he should offer plus stuff. He has yet to play a pro game.

Blake Snell (LHP): Taken in the first round by the Rays in the 2011 draft, Snell is a raw HS pitcher. His fastball's velocity is average, and while his offspeed pitches show promise, they are unrefined. He has pretty good upside with a low floor. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=snell-000bla)

Taylor Motter (SS/3B): Motter is a bit reminiscent of Tyler Bornick as he was taken later in the draft and had a good pro debut. He profiles best as a role player though, and not an everyday starter. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=motter000tay)

Cameron Seitzer (1B): A linedrive hitting 1B taken in the 2011 draft, Seitzer's future should depend on his future power. His 2011 season in pr ball was a very nice surprise and an excellent start. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=seitze000cam)

Andrew Bellatti (RHP): Once involved in a fatal car crash, Bellatti is a sleeper propsect in the low minor leagues. His stuff isn't notable yet, but he is young, has potential, and has posted good numbers. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=bellat001and)

Matt Spann (LHP): A young lefty with good pitchability and a projectable frame, Spann has posted good numbers in the low minor leagues. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=spann-001mat)

Stephen Vogt (C): Despite putting up mediocre walk rates, Vogt has hit well at each promotion, especially in regards to batting average. He offers versatility yet isn't good defensively in any catergory. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=vogt--001ste)

Kyle Lobstein (LHP): A finesse lefty out of the disastrous 2008 draft, Lobstein projectibily has yet to promote his stuff, leaving him as an athletic pitcher who only throws in the mid to high 80s. His offspeed pitches offer potential and he has shown a good ability to mix up his pitches and control the strike zone. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=lobste001kyl)

Andres Gonzalez (RHP): A pitcher from the VSL Rays, Andres dominated despite playing in an extreme hitter's park. He reportedly thows in the 88-92 range with a good curve and a developing changeup. His BB rate is very promising, but his K rate leaves plenty to desire. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=gonzal004and)

Jacob Thompson (RHP): A second round pick in the 2010 draft, Thompson is a big, strong RHP with a low 90s fastball and a plus slider. Thompson has one clear issue: strikeouts. While he could be aiming for pitchability, a 4.4 K/9 simply doesn't cut it for a top prospect. He also struggles with hittability, which would hint towards a weaker than often described fastball. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=thomps003jac)

John Alexander (1B): A HS 1B, Alexander was drafted in the eighth round of the 2011 draft. He performed well in his short GCL stint. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=alexan003joh)

Jacob Faria (RHP): Like Alexander, Faria was a HS pick in the 2011 draft, coming from the 10th round. He put up superd numbers in a extremely short sample size with the GCL Rays. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=faria-000jac)

Nick Barnese (RHP): Barnese stock has fallen in the past years, due to a lack of progression of his stuff, weakening stats, and injuries. It appears his fastball still sits in the 90 range (with excellent movement). His other pitches still have some potential. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=barnes001nic)

Albert Suarez RHP): Suarez is an interesting player, a player the Rays have shown much dedication and hope for despite many issues. At his best, Suarez has a low to mid 90s sinker that could develop into an excellent pitch. He also has some other pitches with potential; as of now, health is a big issue.(http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=suarez001alb)

Braulio Lara (LHP): A lefty with a blazing mid 90s fastball, Lara proves plenty of upside. However, he is old for his levels and failed to dominate in 2011, throwing him a bit off the radar. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=lara--001bra)

Jason McEachern (RHP): With a fastball thats sits in the 93-94 range and a good looking curve (that he doesn't throw much), it seems stange that McEachern seemingly can't get past Bowling Green. His delivery is a bit like Masterson's and he lacks much of a third pitch, so a move to the bullpen could be in his future. (http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=mceach001jas)

This post was written by a member of the DRaysBay community and does not necessarily express the views or opinions of DRaysBay staff.

0 recs  |  45 comments

Comments

Cameron Seitzer
+1
WTF yall

An old 1B who can’t hit for power? What makes anyone think he’ll be successful past A-ball?

What makes you think he can't hit for power? He isn't a bona fida slugger, but his power seems fine.

And isn’t Lara old too? All of these players have deficiencies; I just feel that Seitzer is the best bet among them.

He couldn't crack double digit HRs in college with an aluminum bats

And he was drafted as a college senior. That’s not deficiencies. That’s a matter of needing to prove himself at higher levels.

Funny thing

I was cleaning out my books earlier today and checked the 2005 Baseball Prospectus where Nate Silver wrote an article about why guys like him almost never do well in the majors.

Plus to top it off

10 picks ago, people were picking guys because they were 1st rounders and with no other basis, yet we have another one still on this list who hasn’t gone yet, while people are voting for a 9th rounder who had slightly above average production as an old fart for his level.

I thought Seitzer was an 11th Rounder?

Alexander was the 8th rounder and Matt Rice was the 9th Rounder if I remember correctly.

HS pitchers have an awful track record and I'm not a big fan of Snell.

It was still a close decision though.

college senior 1b with little power have a great track record, though.
Are you talking about Seitzer in this post?

He was well above average. Unless average was like .400 wOBA and 140 wRC+, but that seems high.

But he hit 11 homers in 64 games in pro ball with a .213 ISOP.

Sure, he was old for his level in terms of top prospects. But Braulio Lara was old for his level too, and his stats are not as good.

In addition to this, it appears that his lack of power in college in 2011 was fluky. He had a .156 ISOP in college in 2011, but had a .240 and .295 ISOP as a freshman and sophomore, respectively. In fact, his OPS was at its worst in his 2011 college campaign.

please dont compare pitching and position prospects as far as ARL is concerned.
But he did.

His 16 HR in 2010 don’t count?

Sorry

I forgot to look at his junior year when he did so good that no team drafted him at all.

his power was OK until the new bats.
Just vote for the guy you think has the best chance to beat him then.
Braulio Lara
+1

It’s absurd he’s fallen this low.

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