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Are Rays Relievers Autobots or Decepticons?

CBS Sports' Jon Heyman tweeted this thought earlier today

Heyman_medium

A lot of people say it, a lot of people even joke about the fact that everyone reacts to Andrew Freidman moves differently than signings by other GM's. The big question: is the axiom actually true?

Star-divide

The table below shows the stable of relievers that have been brought in via trade or free agency and have thrown at least a full season's of work in a Rays uniform.

PITCHER IP ERA FIP H/9 K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Lance Cormier (TB) 139.1 3.55 4.65 9.2 4.3 3.8 0.8
Lance Cormier (preTB) 455 4.93 5.16 10.2 5.3 4.4 1.2
Grant Balfour (TB) 203 3.33 3.04 6.9 10.4 4.0 0.6
Grant Balfour (preTB) 70.2 4.33 3.91 7.5 10.3 4.6 1.0
Juan Cruz (TB) 48.2 3.88 4.25 6.7 8.5 5.2 0.9
Juan Cruz (preTB) 619.1 4.13 4.24 7.8 9.1 4.8 0.9
Joaquin Benoit (TB) 60.1 1.34 2.50 4.5 11.2 1.6 0.9
Joaquin Benoit (preTB) 591.1 4.79 4.57 8.5 8.2 4.3 1.2
Kyle Farnsworth (TB) 57.2 2.18 3.29 7.0 8.0 1.9 0.8
Kyle Farnsworth (preTB) 894.2 4.25 4.27 8.5 9.0 3.8 1.2
Troy Percival (TB) 57 4.89 6.15 6.8 7.1 5.1 1.9
Troy Percival (preTB) 708.2 3.17 3.86 6.1 9.9 3.9 1.1
Joel Peralta (TB) 67.2 2.93 3.41 5.9 8.1 2.4 0.9
Joel Peralta (preTB) 390 3.99 4.05 8.1 7.5 2.4 1.3
J.P. Howell (TB) 280 4.21 4.05 8.4 9.0 4.0 1.0
J.P. Howell (preTB) 72.2 6.19 5.18 9.0 6.7 4.8 1.1
Al Reyes (TB) 83.1 4.75 4.52 7.6 9.6 3.3 1.6
Al Reyes (preTB) 428.2 4.03 4.25 7.1 8.9 4.1 1.1
Dan Wheeler (2nd TB) 197.1 3.10 4.26 6.8 7.8 2.6 1.4
Dan Wheeler (preTB2) 310.1 3.42 3.63 8.2 8.5 2.7 1.0
Rafael Soriano (TB) 62.1 1.73 2.83 5.2 8.2 2.0 0.6
Rafael Soriano (preTB) 332.2 2.79 3.37 6.5 9.6 2.8 0.9
Joe Nelson (TB) 40.1 4.02 5.68 7.1 8.0 6.0 1.6
Joe Nelson (preTB) 101.1 4.17 3.91 8.0 9.7 4.5 1.0

Indeed, most were indeed better in their time with the Rays than they were prior to arriving in Tampa Bay. Percival and Reyes clearly did not do better overall, but they were both already near the end of their careers and both made Tampa Bay the final stop in their careers. Wheeler improved in hits allowed but gave up more home runs and struck out less his second time around than he did earlier in his career.

Only Juan Cruz had a career walk rate close to where Rodney is as he comes to town. Rodney has had a walk rate of at least 4.9 for four consecutive seasons and has not walked less than 4.0 per nine innings since the 2007 season in Detroit.

Most of the pitchers that come to Tampa Bay and work in the bullpen do indeed find more success here, but some do not and past performance is certainly no guarantee of future results. Rodney does some things well:

  • Career OPS vs RH bats below .700
  • Career .573 OPS vs all hitters when ahead in the count
  • OPS over the pas four seasons with runners in scoring position: .755, .702, .678., .599
  • Has been better than league average in limiting base hits against groundballs over the past three seasons
That said, Jim Hickey has his work cut out for him in refining Rodney's command if the reliever is indeed to become the next signee to be more than meets the eye.

1 recs  |  38 comments

Comments

we should probably trade Rodney before the season

his trade value will be at its highest.

A lot of credit is usually given to the training staff

But those guys and Hickey have a lot to work on here. Can’t be easy teaching a 35 year old to throw more strikes. And we need Molina to go talk to him since Rodney never even learned English.

not easy but can be done

Farnsworth re-invented himself. I’m guessing the Rays believe they can help Rodney do the same. Maybe the Rays can’t get the Angels to trade Trumbo or Morales, so now they are going to humiliate them again by taking a pitcher that didn’t do well for them, and making him super awesome. That oughta show ’em.

Farnsie reinvented himself??

Did you check out his numbers in the season immediately prior to joining the rays? Not much different then his first year with the rays…

i didnt mean he reinvented himself just last season

But with KC. Everyone said he couldn’t handle closer and look how he did with NY. Rays saw he became a different pitcher and signed him. They could believe Rodney is capable of the same, and confident they can reduce his walks, and with this D encourage him to pitch to contact.

Don't underestimate pitchers' confidence levels throwing in front of a top flight defense in a hitters park
or in a pitcher's park like Tropicana

Camerica was another pitcher’s park. The Rays hit the nail on the head with Farnsworth. I’m hoping they do the same with Rodney.

oops meant pitcher's park
never learning english

that’s interesting i did not know that. It seems like something that one would be interested in or at least pick up over a decade…not to be egocentric but it seems like learning English would be valuable while playing in the US.

LEARN ENGLISH OR GET OUT.
Shut up you stupid red neck
Mods? Feeling attacked here.

Especially with this user’s history of deer genocide.

wahmbulance on its way
Like learning the difference between "would of" and "would have"?
Somebody needed to replace Sonny

Every team needs a shitty reliever or 2

I know where you got the title for this piece

Kevin Millar’s shoulder blade tattoos of course

Rodney missing piece?

I was feeling pretty good about the bullpen after the other recent acquisitions. Thinking the 2mil could of been put toward getting Los back in town on a home town discount.

^ could have

RayJoeyZone

If Rodney's the missing piece, buy a different puzzle.
Exactly. I'm already getting too much grief from the Detroit crowd.
There are still enough people in Detroit to form a crowd?
Indeed?
Indeed, most were indeed better in

Indeed!

Not that anyone cares, but Rob Delaney signed with MIA.

Joins Brian Baker (MIL), Matt Carson (MIN), Mike Ekstrom (COL), Ray Olmedo (CWS), Adam Russel (ATL), and Sonny as MILFA’s who signed elsewhere.

Saw that Friedman specifically said that he can challenge batters in AND out of the strike zone.

Friedman usually leaves a little piece in those types of comments. I’m curious if any of you guys see anything that Friedman is hinting towards in his numbers.

Just in case the yankees and boston pull away from us early

If it looks like we can’t beat’em, we’re planning to maim’em.

I don't mind this signing and think he will provide some value as a GB MR guy.

Over the past 3 years, he is 14th in MLB for relief pitchers GB%(min 150 ip). Being so GB heavy, he limits his HRs against and can still get a K. Obviously his BB are a problem, but if he can get it back to pre-2010 levels and settle under 5 BB/9 he could be useful. Another FA acquisition this year, Badenhop is 10th in GB% over that span. I wonder if Friedman is targeting this skillset to pair with our defense. Could be a cheap way to find RP who should outperform their peripherals.

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