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AL East 2012 Top 25 Prospects

As I did last year, I've gone through the AL East farm systems and come up with a list of the division's top 25 prospects.
1. Matt Moore, LHP, Rays - A pretty easy choice at #1 as he's the best pitching prospect in baseball. He showed he was major-league ready by shutting down the Texas Rangers in the ALDS, and with the ink dry on his contract extension, seems have to a clear path to an opening-day rotation slot.

2. Jesus Montero, C, Yankees - Like Moore, the Yankees "catcher" showed he could hack it in the big leagues late last season, blasting four home runs in 18 games. There aren't any worries about his bat, but he may never be able to handle everyday catching duties. Even if he's limited to rotating between C, 1B, and DH, he's a potential all-star.

3. Dylan Bundy, RHP, Orioles - The fourth overall pick in the 2011 draft, Bundy scraped 100 mph with his fastball in high school, and yet it may be his polish and pitchability that earn more praise. He lacks a typical power-pitcher build at 6-1/200, but he's athletic and already has a deep repertoire, which should help him move quickly.

4. Manny Machado, SS, Orioles - Injuries limited Machado to just 101 games in 2011, but he impressed enough to hit his way to the high-A Carolina League as an 18-year-old. He's not a flashy defender or plus runner, but he gets the job done and his bat is special for a shortstop.

5. Travis d'Arnaud, C, Blue Jays - Part of the return for Roy Halladay, d'Arnaud broke through in 2011 with a .311/.371/.542 line for double-A New Hampshire. He also rated as the circuit's top defensive catcher and should be ready to displace J.P Arencibia in 2013.

Star-divide

6. Hak-Ju Lee, SS, Rays - After a bout with the chicken pox, Lee hit .318/.389/.443 in the Florida State League before fading with Montgomery. His body frame doesn't project much power, but he hits for contact and is a plus runner and defender.

7. Manny Banuelos, LHP, Yankees - Their lack of off-season interest in C.J. Wilson and Yu Darvish may be a sign that they're ready to hand the keys to a rotation spot to Banuelos, who struck out nearly a hitter per inning between double- and triple-A as a 20-year-old. His control and command could use some work.

8. Jake Marisnick, OF, Blue Jays - A veritable tool box, Marisnick began to translate those tools into production with a .320/.392/.496 line in the Midwest League.

9. Will Middlebrooks, 3B, Red Sox - Another case of turning tools into stats, Middlebrooks has power and is a plus defender at 3B. His on-base skills need improvement.

10. Enny Romero, LHP, Rays - Yup, it's my first out-on-a-limb pick. Romero struck out 140 in 114 innings and has the stuff to back it up.

11. Anthony Gose, OF, Blue Jays - He has some of the best tools in the division, with plus-plus speed, arm strength, and defense. He's still a work-in-progress at the plate but made progress in 2010.

12. Jonathan Schoop, SS/2B, Orioles - He has the defensive chops to play at shortstop, but has played 2B in deference to Machado. Hit .290/.349/.432 between high- and low-A.

13. Alex Torres, LHP, Rays - A similar profile to Manny Banuelos, Torres is an undersized lefty with plus stuff and control problems. He's been among the league leaders in both strikeouts and walks his last two seasons.

14. Daniel Norris, LHP, Blue Jays - The Jays scooped up Norris toward the end of the first round, he rated as the best of the second tier of high school pitchers after Dylan Bundy and Archie Bradley.

15. Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, Rays - He was right with Norris on that second tier.

16. Xander Bogaerts, SS, Red Sox - As an 18-year-old in low-A, Bogaerts hit .260/.324/.509 although he's likely going to have to shift to third base down the line.

17. Gary Sanchez, C, Yankees - He's following in Jesus Montero's steps as an offensive-minded catcher. Injuries and attitude problems led to him only playing in 82 games, where hit .256/.335/.485 in low-A as an 18-year-old.

18. Dellin Betances, RHP, Yankees - Struck out 142, but walked 70, in 126.1 innings making his 2.3 BB/9 in 2010 look more like a fluke.

19. Chris Archer, RHP, Rays - Similar to Betances in terms of plus stuff and iffy control, right down to the flukey-looking stretch of good control.

20. Blake Swihart, C, Red Sox - Received a $2.5 million dollars as the highest-drafted catcher in the 2011 draft.


21. Mikie Mahtook, OF, Rays - The new college bats didn't slow him down one bit.

22. Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Blue Jays - The Jays remained cautious with Sanchez, holding him to 54.1 innings, which kept him from taking a big step forward.

23. Mason Williams, OF, Yankees - One of the breakout players in the New York-Penn League, Williams hit .349/.395/.468.

24. Brandon Jacobs, RB, Giants - Wait, I mean: OF, Red Sox. Jacobs did pass up a football scholarship to be a runningback at Auburn, a tribute to his athleticism. He hit .303/.376/.505 for low-A Greenville.

25. Dante Bichette, Jr, 3B, Yankees - What can I say, I'm a sucker for the bat-first guys. Bichette has actually mashed, hitting .335/.440/.507 in his debut, mainly in the Gulf Coast League.

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Comments

I actually like this list quite a bit, with only a few minor quibbles.

Banuelos is several spots too high for my liking. While his stuff was very sharp in ST (which helped him gain a ton of buzz), I fell off during the season.

Gary Sanchez is low for my liking, but then again, I’m just a big believer in his power.

I like Archer quite a bit more than Betances. Betances is another Yankee hype machine, as his fastball is more low 90s than mid 90s.

I would also move Bundy down to 5/6.

Outside of those minor quibbles, I really liked it. And thank you (so much) for not including Iglesias. I don’t know why you would, but still….

Great List. Here are a couple more guys that I think merit attention.

SP Matt Barnes-Red Sox—-Hasn’t played in the pros yet, but has a mid-90’s fastball and a sick curve. Possible front-line starter.

OF Bryce Brentz-Red Sox—-Hit 30 HR’s between Low A and High A last year. Also has a plus arm.

C A.J. Jimenez-Blue Jays—-Good catch and throw guy who hit .303 in Florida State League last year.

Oh, I forgot about Barnes and Brentz.

I would put both on the list.

I agree with mr. maniac and John Gregg

Good stuff; minor quibbles. Machado is an easy #3 for me.

I’m higher on Torres, Middlebrooks, and Bogaerts than you are, and I’m lower on Bundy (though not by much), Banuelos, and Betances.

I really like Dante Bichette, Jr., and I’m glad you got him on the list. He probably doesn’t deserve to be any higher right now, so this is mostly just a shout-out.

agreed on machado
A couple of other Blue Jays guys I like are

P Adonys Cardona and OF Michael Crouse. Don’t think either deserve to be on the list yet, but both have very high ceilings. The Blue Jays have a VERY deep system.

Is Rays prospects doing another minor league guide of all the Rays prospects?

I found that a great tool and good read

+1

Whenever I forgot about the player or needed a name, it proved to be a valuable tool.

Not this year unfortunately

Just been busy with too much stuff, but I’m glad you liked it and I’ll try to revive it next offseason

Agreed

Never been a prospect guy, I found it invaluable.

Yup. That file is still on my desktop. Last opened a few days ago to check on Satow.
Dropped from last season: the incomparable Josh Fale
Too bad "Sale" isn't pronounced the same as a "sale" price.
or like Chris Sale
thank God for the written v spoken word
no tbex...
Here we go

Where should he rank?

Somewhere not on this list.
ill bet his career WAR is higher than at least 10 of the guys on this list
Where should he rank?
no idea. i know he should be higher than a number of the recent draftees and guys in a ball.
I like the list, but ...

… I think you missed Syndergaard!? I’d have him at 10, but at worst I don’t see him dropping behind Chris Archer, so 19th at worst!

I didn't realize his stuff was up as much as the reports indicate

So yeah, good call.

I'd have him in the 20-25 range, till he gains some more consistency.
futurejays.com had him as the 6th Jays prospects.

They noted he has an inconsistent curve, a good 92-94 fastball, and pretty good changeup. If eveything goes perfectly, he has “ace” potential.

Sounds like one of the top 25, but definitely not in the top 10.

Brandon Jacobs? Whats he doing in baseball? He breaks tackles but he's slow, dude should be a FB not a RB

The top 2 are going to graduate this season but they might be it for the entire list. I guess you never know with the Yankees pitchers or Middlebrooks if/when Youk gets hurt again.

Torres already has some apperances and days on the roster so he wouldn’t need to be on the 25 man that long to graduate also. Overall, many of these guys will be in the minors all year and as if the MLB teams weren’t strong enough, look at these farm teams….

ugh
Great input
Sorry Joseph, that's all it deserved.
Noah Syndergaard, Justin Nicolino, Drew Hutchison?

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